Category: incidents

The Allspaw-Collins effect

While reading Laura Maguire’s PhD dissertation, Controlling the Costs of Coordination in Large-scale Distributed Software Systems, when I came across a term I hadn’t heard before: the Allspaw-Collins effect:

An example of how practitioners circumvent the extensive costs inherent in the Incident Command model is the Allspaw-Collins effect (named for the engineers who first noticed the pattern). This is commonly seen in the creation of side channels away from the group response effort, which is “necessary to accomplish cognitively demanding work but leaves the other participants disconnected from the progress going on in the side channel (p.81)”

Here’s my understanding:

A group of people responding to an incident have to process a large number of signals that are coming in. One example of such signals is the large number of Slack messages appearing in the incident channel as incident responders and others provide updates and ask questions. Another example would be additional alerts firing.

If there’s a designated incident commander (IC) who is responsible for coordination, the IC can become a bottleneck if they can’t keep up with the work of processing all of these incoming signals.

The effect captures how incident responders will sometimes work around this bottleneck by forming alternate communication channels so they can coordinate directly with each other, without having to mediate through the IC. For example, instead of sending messages in the main incident channel, they might DM each other or communicate in a separate (possibly private) channel.

I can imagine how this sort of side-channel communication would be officially sanctioned (“all incident-related communication should happen in the incident response channel!“), and also how it can be adaptive.

Maguire doesn’t give the first names of the people the effect is named for, but I strongly suspect they are John Allspaw and Morgan Collins.

Southwest airlines: a case study in brittleness

What happens to a complex system when it gets pushed just past its limits?

In some cases, the system in question is able to actually change its limits, so it can handle the new stressors that get thrown at it. When a system is pushed beyond its design limit, it has to change the way that it works. The system needs to adapt its own processes to work in a different way.

We use the term resilience to describe the ability of a system to adapt how it does its work, and this is what resilience engineering researchers study. These researchers have identified multiple factors that foster resilience. For example, people on the front lines of the system need autonomy to be able to change the way they work, and they also need to coordinate effectively with others in the system. A system under stress inevitably need access to additional resources, which means that there needs to be extra capacity that was held in reserve. People need to be able to anticipate trouble ahead, so that they can prepare to change how they work and deploy the extra capacity.

However, there are cases when systems fail to adapt effectively when pushed just beyond their limits. These systems face what Woods and Branlat call decompensation: they exhaust their ability to keep up with the demands placed on them, and their performance falls sharply off of a cliff. This behavior is the opposite of resilience, and researchers call it brittleness.

The ongoing problems facing Southwest Airlines provides us with a clear example of brittleness. External factors such as the large winter storm pushed the system past its limit, and it was not able to compensate effectively in the face of these stressors.

There are many reports coming out of the media now about different factors that contributed to Southwest’s brittleness. I think it’s too early to treat these as definitive. A proper investigation will likely take weeks if not months. When the investigation finally gets completed, I’m sure there will be additional factors identified that haven’t been reported on yet.

But one thing we can be sure of at this point is that Southwest Airlines fell over when pushed beyond its limits. It was brittle.