I was glancing through one of the LinkedIn software group discussions, and noticed that the poor state of software development was being discussed. Whenever I hear these laments, the question that comes to my mind is, “compared to what?”
It isn’t obvious that software development is in much poorer shape than, say, civil or mechanical engineering, and I’m not even sure how to make a meaningful comparison. Consider IEEE’s Risk Factor blog. Yes, expensive software failures are still a too-common occurrence. Yet, as I write this, the second Risk Factor post from the top discusses the fatal Washington DC subway crash in 2009 which was due to an electrical circuit failure, not a software defect. While the field of software should always strive for perfection, it isn’t a realistic standard to be judged against and found wanting.
As an aside, here’s a study I’ve always wanted to do: compare cost and schedule overruns for government IT projects versus government construction projects of similar initial budget and schedule projections. The raw data should be publicly available, assuming one knows where to look. Comparing how well the projects met their requirements across the domains would be more challenging.
Surfing Complexity 
It’s in everyone’s interest to insist that software development is in a poor state. Academics milk the statement for grants, and practitioners gain an edge over those of their competitors that step out of line, by making them look irresponsibly complacent.